New Paradigm
Read moreIf we don’t nail the soft landing and the intentional recession takes hold, corporate earnings will fall leaving less money to pay down the debt that has accrued during the low-rate feast we have been indulging in.
Cash Management
Read moreWhile the most predicted recession looms, we look for opportunities in every market. If the Fed finally Pivots, certain positions may become very valuable and see significant appreciation.
Market Update 2/16/23
Read moreOn February 2nd, I was invited to appear in Bloomberg Markets segment on Bloomberg TV to comment on the markets.
Employment
Read moreJust one of the many sticking points to the Fed’s plan is the labor market. No one in their right mind wants people to lose their jobs, but if we suppress our humanity for the moment, that is exactly what the Fed and the market want.
National Risk
Read moreOver the past few years we have witnessed the propensity of investors to fund even the most absurd investment ideas with upwards of trillions of dollars. To this we say “OMG”. What part of your Ivy League MBA brain allowed you to think that it was a good idea?
Market Update 1/22/23
Read moreOur trend-following algorithms moved us back to a fully invested position in our US Stock Allocations last week.